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Channel: Win Probability – The Harvard Sports Analysis Collective
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Yet Another Article on a Controversial 4th Down Call from a New England...

By David Roher A program for The Game, from 1968. (the-game.org) Harvard and Yale played their 126th football game (known around these parts simply as “The Game”) yesterday. We elected not to do a...

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What is the chance of an NBA comeback when down by 35?

By Professor Carl Morris The Kings mounted the second largest comeback in NBA history. The Sacramento Kings came back to win on Monday night (Dec 21), when down by 35 points against the Bulls in...

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All-Time Most Pivotal Plays in a World Series Game

By Adam Gilfix Recently, my fellow HSAC contributor and friend Carlos Pena-Lobel put up an article on the most pivotal plays in Super Bowl history, using the basis of win probability added.  That got...

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Predicting Two Point Conversion Success: Did the Raiders Have a Special Edge?

By Kurt Bullard It’s been a week or so since the famous decision by Jack Del Rio to go for two against the Saints on the road, trailing by one point with only 47 seconds left in the contest. Derek Carr...

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